There are some important issues that can be addressed more comprehensively than the timeline has permitted. These include:

1. A more comprehensive analysis of the best way to utilize the AV stockpile. Specifically, one crucial issue is to seek guidance on the choice of alternative strategies for the use of AVs in the event that AV resistance develops.

2. An assessment of how well the health care sector can cope, by modeling the dynamics of infection among health care workers, allowing infected health care workers to be infected, have time away from work to recover and then return to work.

3. Incorporating the capacity of jurisdictions to respond into the calculations.

Some of these are under current investigation.

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Using Mathematical Models to Assess Responses to an Outbreak of an Emerged Viral Respiratory Disease(PDF 873 KB)